According to the Datafolha Institute, the gap between Lula and Jair Bolzano in the run-up to the October presidential election has widened from 26 points to 17 points since December.
According to opinion polls released on Thursday, Lula is far ahead of the vote in the October presidential election in Brazil, despite President Jair Bolzano narrowing the gap.
According to the Datafolha Institute, 43% of Brazilians will vote for Luis Inacio Lula da Silva in the first round, while 26% will vote for Jair Bolzano. The gap has narrowed to 26 to 17 points compared to the last survey conducted by the Benchmark Institute (48% for Lula and 22% for Bolsanaro) released in mid-December.
However, Datafolha points out that the two polls are not entirely comparable, with the names recommended for the interviewers being changed from one poll to another, with some candidates leaving the presidential race.
Others are not very reliable candidates
The results of this latest poll, conducted among 2,556 voters on Tuesday and Wednesday, are similar to those released in September (44% for Lula and 26% for Bolsanaro). Polls from other companies have already shown the rise of Jair Bolzano in recent weeks, who narrowed the gap to ten points.
Idea released a poll on Thursday stating that Lula has 40% voting intentions and 29% against Bolsanaro. According to Datafolha, other presidential candidates are below the 10% limit, and the option of a “third way” is currently impossible.
Former anti-corruption judge Sergio Moro, former justice minister in the Bolsanaro government, was third (8%), followed by Chiro Gomez (center left, 6%) and the center-right governor of Sao Paulo (2%).
“With the defeat of Morrow’s candidacy, many right – wing voters have realized that the only way to prevent the Labor Party (PT, Lula) from returning to power is to vote for Bolsanaro,” explains AFP political analyst Griomer de. Sousa, consulting firm Dharma.
“Anti-PT sentiment is likely to grow in the coming months, which could put Bolzano back in the saddle and cause problems for Lula,” he added. He recalled that the Left Party, which ruled Brazil from 2002 to 2016, played a key role in the 2018 election of Jair Bolsanaro before being embroiled in corruption scandals.
The popularity of the far-right president plummeted to the end of last year, with only 22% positive comments. He is particularly critical of his government’s handling of the corona virus epidemic that has killed more than 650,000 people in Brazil. The economic situation is also deteriorating, with inflation weighing on the purchasing power of those in poverty.
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