Hurricane Lee’s track and timeline: Meteorologists predict when and where the storm will hit

Hurricane Lee It continues to move north on a path that will likely threaten the New England coast this weekend. It weakened to a Category 1 storm on Thursday. Watches and warnings have been lifted for coastal areas in Maine, Massachusetts, New Hampshire and eastern Canada.

Lee’s effects were already being felt along the southeastern coast of the United States, and meteorologists said Lee would make his presence felt through “dangerous surf and heavy rain.” rip current “Conditions” on beaches along the western Atlantic throughout the week.

Lee quickly ramped up over The waters of the Atlantic Ocean are very warm Late last week, it swelled to become strong Category 5 A tornado occurs before wind speeds begin to decrease.

Where is Hurricane Lee headed?

As of 5 p.m. EDT Friday, Lee was a Category 1 hurricane with maximum sustained winds of 80 mph, according to the National Hurricane Center.

Hurricane winds extended up to 115 miles from the center of Lee and tropical storm force winds extended up to 345 miles from the center. The center of the storm was about 290 miles southeast of Nantucket, Massachusetts, and about 490 miles southwest of Halifax, Nova Scotia, according to the hurricane center. Lee was moving north at 20 mph.

A map from the National Hurricane Center shows the likely path of Hurricane Lee’s center as of 5 p.m. EDT on September 15, 2023.

National Hurricane Center


“On the forecast track, Lee’s center will continue to move away from Bermuda and approach the New England and Atlantic coasts of Canada through Saturday. Lee is then expected to move toward the north-northeast,” the hurricane center predicted Friday. And the northeast and moves across the Atlantic Ocean into Canada on Saturday and Sunday night.

“It is expected to be a large and very dangerous storm when it reaches eastern New England and the Atlantic Canada region.”

A hurricane condition is in effect in parts of eastern Canada.

A tropical storm warning was issued from Westport, Massachusetts, north to the US-Canada border, Martha’s Vineyard, Nantucket and parts of eastern Canada. A tropical storm watch has been issued for parts of eastern Canada.

Where will Hurricane Lee make landfall?

According to the Hurricane Center, Lee is expected to make landfall in eastern Canada on Saturday.

CBS Boston reported The center of Lee on Thursday is expected to pass about 150 miles east of the Western Cape on Saturday morning, and will likely become a Category 1 cyclone, developing into an extratropical, non-Easter-type storm.

“Forecast confidence increased significantly today regarding the ultimate path and impacts of Hurricane Lee,” the station reported.

President Biden issued an emergency declaration for Maine late Thursday, before Lee’s arrival, which will free up resources from the Federal Emergency Management Agency “to coordinate all disaster relief efforts.”

Will Hurricane Lee hit Massachusetts?

Lee is expected to move toward the Massachusetts coast without making landfall in the state, but coastal areas will feel the effects of the storm.

“If you live in Cape Massachusetts or Maine, keep a close eye on me as we head into the weekend,” The Weather Channel meteorologist Stefan Abrams said Tuesday on “CBS Mornings.”

“The exact location of the storm and the level of impacts we will see in the United States will be determined in part by high pressure to the east and a low trough to the west,” she said. “If the hurricane ends farther west, we could experience stronger winds, heavier rains, larger waves and coastal flooding. If it slides further east, the impacts will be less severe.”

CBS Boston reports The first bands of rain could creep over the islands and Cape Cod at sunset on Friday, with the steadiest and heaviest rain likely to remain over Cape Cod, peaking on Saturday morning. Coastal areas could see waves of 10 to 20 feet and some coastal erosion as well.

The station stated that the inland areas, away from the coast, are expected to witness very little rain and some stormy winds.

Will Hurricane Lee hit New York?

New York is not expected to take a direct hit, however CBS New York reports Long Island coastal cities are bracing for potential impacts from the storm. High waves, dangerous rip currents, and beach erosion are likely to pose the biggest threats there.

“We had crews out last week, and they will be out all weekend securing these waterways, building these areas to try to preserve our beaches,” Hempstead Town Supervisor Don Clavin told the station.

Governor Kathy Hochul also deployed 50 Long Island National Guard members to help prepare for the storm.

Hurricane Lee Spaghetti Models

Spaghetti weather models, or spaghetti charts, are computer models that show the likely paths a storm may take as it develops. These models do not predict the impact or when a storm might hit; According to the weather channelBut focus on showing areas that may be at risk.

Spaghetti models of Hurricane Lee mostly showed the storm moving over the Atlantic Ocean as it headed north, closing the gap near northern New England. a Spaghetti model The Lee’s generated Tuesday, shown below, showed most of the forecast paths skirting the U.S. coast as far as New England at least, with an impact likely along the northern New England coast or Canadian offshore lines late this week.

A spaghetti model showing the likely paths of Hurricane Lee, September 12, 2023.

National Center for Atmospheric Research/University Foundation for Atmospheric Research


Another set was posted by The Weather Channel’s Jim Cantor on Monday, Who wrote: “Recent trends have moved the #Lee model back to the west enough that it has placed southeastern New England in the NHC track cone. It should be noted that the track pointing can be wrong by hundreds of miles this time by 5-6 days. However, from I’m likely to have an enlarged…

What is the wind speed of a hurricane category?

Hurricanes are classified On the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale, which includes five categories based on the storm’s sustained wind speeds. Here’s a look at how the categories are divided and how the National Hurricane Center describes the potential level of damage such storms could cause if they make landfall:

Category 1: Sustained wind speed 74-95 mph
“Very dangerous winds will cause some damage.”

Category 2: Sustained wind speed 96-110 mph
“Highly dangerous winds will cause severe damage.”

Category 3: Sustained wind speed 111-129 mph
“Devastating damage will be caused.”

Category 4: Sustained wind speed 130-156 mph
“Catastrophic damage will be caused.”

Category 5: Sustained wind speeds of 157 mph or higher
“Catastrophic damage will be caused.”

Any storm of Category 3 or higher is considered a “major hurricane” with the potential for “significant loss of life and damage.”

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