Help each other to think, help each other to act / Democratic Soldiers
The world is concerned about a large-scale conflict that may escalate into World War III, that is, a conflict on three battlefields.
1. The conflict between Hamas and Israel
2. The conflict between Ukraine and Russia
3. The conflict between China and Taiwan
Although a large-scale war had not yet occurred, the tensions in these three battlefields had a great impact on the world.
Let's start with the economic impact of the unilateral sanctions imposed by the United States. And the alliance with Russia, which caused energy prices to rise, including the prices of foodstuffs such as wheat, of which Russia and Ukraine are the main producing countries in the world. There is bound to be a problem exporting wheat to food-hungry markets like Africa.
The impact on financing and investment is due to the distortion of the economic structure. Because the United States is the main sponsor of the war. Therefore, huge amounts of money are needed, resulting in a public debt of more than US$38 trillion, which is already more than 125% of GDP and continues to rise.
But those directly affected are the American people. Taxpayers, both direct and indirect, have to bear an increasing burden while not receiving the care they deserve from the central government. The number of homeless people is increasing. Household debt rates are increasing. At the same time, the arms manufacturing and trading industry saw revenues and profits double.
But the impact of the economic situation in the United States causes instability and confidence in the dollar, which is the main trading currency. In addition, the massive public debt of the United States causing the need to issue bonds to pay off the debt is a form of borrowing money to pay off the debt causing turmoil in the money market and bond market. It affects investment with increasing risk factors, whether economic or the direct effects of war.
In addition to the economic tensions that have spread to the global economy affected by the Covid-19 pandemic, the political tensions are no less. International forums are used in calls for international support, such as the use of the United Nations Forum or political and economic groupings such as the G7, BRICC, SCO Group, Eurasia Group, QUAD Group, ANZUS Group, AUKUS Group, FIVE EYES Group and NATO
On the military side, there is more cooperation in maneuvers. From the coalition group for each party whether maneuvers in the Pacific, the Atlantic, or the North Sea, including Cobra Gold.
On the arms front, there is cooperation and arms deliveries, such as Japan and South Korea sending weapons to Ukraine in the form of loans. After the United States and Europe on behalf of the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) delivered weapons for more than two years, Russia itself purchased a large number of weapons such as missiles and drones from Iran. It purchased 3 million missiles and artillery shells from North Korea.
Intensification In another form, it is not physical war, fighting with weapons, it is information war. The war on technology and electronics Electronic war The war in space has begun to prepare to continuously develop its capabilities.
The Houthis have now kept their promise. That is, if we do not stop attacking Yemen and blockading Gaza, American, British and Israeli ships or vessels heading to and from Israel will be attacked.
Therefore, analysts try to predict, through phenomena and news, how these three tense events will end. Some optimists may think that in the end they will be exhausted and must resort to negotiations to end the war, but the battle that occurred will not expand into a major war. But it will take the form of a long-term proxy war along the lines of the Cold War and Hot Peace.
The pessimistic side estimates that the war will escalate into a direct confrontation between two superpowers, namely the United States and its allies. China, Russia and their allies, because the incident broke out and spread further, more red lines are being crossed. There has been an escalation of confrontation in almost every region, as is the case in Latin America. West Asia expanded into South Asia. and Southeast Asia
Therefore, the confrontation becomes more tense. And expand further, it will cause a great war. Until the eventual use of nuclear weapons
But the importance of studying that case is not in the end of the reason, but the importance lies in the reason. Which will be briefly summarized as follows:
1. The war between Hamas and Israel, and the root cause was the Jewish problem in Europe. Which Christians have hated since the Middle Ages, such as the expression in Shakespeare's play “The Merchant of Venice” or King Rama VI's poem “Veni Vanitch”
Later in the era in which the British won the First World War and came to occupy the land of Palestine from the Ottoman Empire. Therefore, there was a conspiracy operation in cooperation with the Zionist Jews. A plan to create a nation for Jews to drain out of Europe by creating a story consistent with the Bible.
Lord Balfour, British Foreign Secretary during World War II, concluded the Balfour Accords, which encouraged Zionist Jews to establish a state in Palestine. He supported the United Nations in issuing Resolution 181 to establish the State of Israel in 1947, and in the resolution that stipulates the establishment of Israel. Palestine It also prohibits the expulsion of indigenous Palestinian settlers in the areas of Israel designated by the resolution.
But Israel violated all the rules. By slaughtering the indigenous Palestinians until approximately 7-800 thousand people were forced to flee.
Provocation is not enough. Until there were many wars and each time the region expanded. While systematically oppressing, persecuting, imprisoning and killing Palestinians in the occupied territories on charges of genocide and occupation of the land (genocide).
The United Nations later decided to demand that Israel withdraw from the lands it occupied after 1967 and establish a Palestinian state. Its capital is East Jerusalem.
But Israel did not comply with any of the UN resolutions. When the matter reached the Security Council, the United States used its veto power against the process of establishing a Palestinian state and ending hostilities. Even more recently, it has also vetoed humanitarian ceasefires.
The solution to peace is to stop Israel from continuing the genocide against Palestine. And return the land to the Palestinians. It created its own state in the form of two states or established it as one state, where Palestinians enjoy equal rights with Jews in all respects.
The United States must withdraw from illicit support that only causes harm. It will eventually escalate the war
2. The Ukrainian-Russian War The conflict began with the United States not keeping its word. After the destruction of the Berlin Wall, which leads to the reunification of Germany, that is, NATO is no longer necessary, but merely a symbolic presence.
But when the collapse of the Soviet Union occurred and led to the collapse of the Warsaw Pact. NATO also expanded, through the United States, into Eastern Europe. To the point of making Russia fear for its security
Events escalated to Western support for the overthrow of Mr. Yanukovych's government. Pro-Russian sentiment in Ukraine led to the era of Mr. Zelensky. With a pro-Western policy and announced that he would join NATO, there is also repression and persecution of Ukrainians of Russian origin in eastern Ukraine, specifically Donbass.
Eventually war broke out despite attempts to reach an agreement to resolve the issue with two MISS contracts.
The solution is to reach a negotiated truce and provide guarantees to Russia that Ukraine will remain a buffer state. Let Russia continue NATO expansion
3. The conflict between China and Taiwan The root cause is the failure to accept the fact that Taiwan is part of China. According to the geopolitical conditions therefore, if the problem is solved and all parties must accept this fact. Allow negotiations for national reunification by peaceful means or have a mediator participate in the settlement.
Yes, creating peace is better than war. This brings nothing but loss and causes destruction all over the world.
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