Will Emmanuel Macron get a parliamentary majority to use his plan? This is the main issue of the Assembly elections. Facing him, a revived left-back behind Jean-Luc Mன்சlenchon, his first round this Sunday will already measure progress.
Citizens of the mainland of France are expected to go to the polls from 08:00 a.m. on Saturday after a good day abroad.
More than 50% of the 48 million voters – who are the leader of the current Left in the presidential election – can neutralize the competition through a proxy between a third party in the presidential election. While on the right, Marine Le Pen’s RN shows measured ambitions.
Left-wing Nupes Alliance (LFI, PCF, PS and EELV) Ensemble, the macro-alliance of LREM / Renaissance, MoDem and Horizons! The purpose of voting with is neck to neck. But in the second round on Sunday, June 19, if there is no strong mobilization of those who withdrew from the first round, the votes for the Nupes may be low to seek victory.
Non-voting in legislative elections only increased after the 1993 election, rising from 31% that year to 51.3% in 2017. It primarily affects the youth and the working class.
For Macron, the relative majority risk
Together with the latest polls released on Friday! Is leading in the number of delegates, but not necessarily with an absolute majority of 289 seats out of 577. If Emmanuel Macron gets only a relative majority, he will have to deal with other parliamentary committees to approve his laws.
The situation has already worsened since Fran8ois Mitterrand was re-elected in 1988. Its prime minister, Michael Rogard, had to work very hard to create an interim majority for each project. He often sought Article 49-3 of the Constitution, which allows the text of the law to be adopted without a vote, the use of which is prohibited.
Under the least likely circumstances, if Jean-Luc Mélenchon’s Nupes wins by an absolute majority, practically all of Emmanuel Macron’s powers will be taken away.
Dominique Rousseau, a professor of constitutional law at the University of Pantheon-Sorbonne, summarizes that “he is no longer the policy-maker of the country, but the majority in the National Assembly and the prime minister who comes from it.”
Mலlenchon’s “Third Round”
With this in mind, Jean-Luc Mன்சlenchon has repeatedly stated that he wants to make this legislative election a “third round” that will allow him to become the “elected prime minister.”
Emmanuel Macron, who made four trips during the campaign, posed a bulwark against “extremism” during the presidential election.
Pointing to Nupes’ lack of credibility at the economic level, he calls for a “strong and clear” majority to implement his plan.
Fifteen members of the government, including Prime Minister Elizabeth Bourne, are running in the legislative elections and must leave the administration if they fail, according to an unwritten rule, but already Emmanuel Macron applied in 2017.
After Marine Le Pen won more than 40% of the vote in the second round of the presidential election, the National Rally surpassed News and Together, according to opinion polls! For legislative purposes. However, he was able to get 20 to 40 delegates against the 8 elected in 2017, thus forming a parliamentary committee for the first time since 1986.
RN expects success
The RN, which is strong in the PACA and the Hauts-de-France, hopes to have elected officials in new regions such as the Grand Est, Occitanie or New Aquitaine.
In this camp, former presidential candidate Eric Jemmore is hoping to be elected vice president, but he is his party ReignWest!
Finally, these legislative elections promise to pose the greatest threat to the traditional right of the Republicans (LR), the pillar of French political life for decades, but far from power since 2012, and his candidate Valerie Pécresse received less than 5% of the presidential vote. .
Nearly 6,300 candidates are vying for 577 seats, 20% less than in 2017, especially due to the left-wing deal. Those who are not elected on Sunday evening must enter the second round on June 19, either by coming first or second in their constituency or by 12.5% of the registered electorate.
This article was automatically published. Sources: ats / afp
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